Climate Connection

Insufficient Rainfall  
Lack of rainfall can lead to short and long-term drought conditions across the region. Over the past few decades, there has been a downward trend in rainfall during the summer months. Most climate models simulate that the decrease in summer rainfall may continue into the future. Additionally, the annual mean precipitation is expected to decrease across the western portion of the Southeast. 
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,Li, L., Li, W., & Kushnir, Y. (2012). Variation of the North Atlantic subtropical high western ridge and its implication to Southeastern US summer precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 39(6), 1401-1412.,Groisman, P. Y., & Knight, R. W. (2008). Prolonged dry episodes over the conterminous United States: new tendencies emerging during the last 40 years.Journal of Climate, 21(9), 1850-1862.
,Wang, H., Fu, R., Kumar, A., & Li, W. (2010). Intensification of Summer Rainfall Variability in the Southeastern United States during Recent Decades. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 11(4), 1007–1018. doi:10.1175/2010jhm1229.1
,Kunkel, K.E, L.E. Stevens, S.E. Stevens, L. Sun, E. Janssen, D. Wuebbles, C.E. Konrad II, C.M. Fuhrman, B.D. Keim,
M.C. Kruk, A. Billet, H. Needham, M. Schafer, and J.G. Dobson, 2013: Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the
U.S. National Climate Assessment. Part 2. Climate of the Southeast U.S., NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-2, 94 pp.,Schoof, J. T., Pryor, S. C., & Surprenant, J. (2010). Development of daily precipitation projections for the United States based on probabilistic downscaling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115(D13). doi:10.1029/2009jd013030

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