Climate Connection

Increase in Extreme Precipitation  
The Midwest is susceptible to various precipitation extremes due to severe storms and frequent winter storms. In recent decades, the number of extreme precipitation (both rain and snow) events has increased significantly across most of the region. Climate models simulate that number of days exceeding one inch of precipitation will continue to increase into the 21st century.  
Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., & Karl, T. R. (2001). Heavy Precipitation and High Streamflow in the Contiguous United States: Trends in the Twentieth Century. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(2), 219–246. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0219:hpahsi>;2
,Kunkel, K.E, L.E. Stevens, S.E. Stevens, L. Sun, E. Janssen, D. Wuebbles, S. D. Hilberg, M. S. Timlin, L. Stoecker, N. E. Westcott, J. G. Dobson, 2013: Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the U.S. National Climate Assessment. Part 3. Climate of the Midwest U.S., NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-3, 89 pp. ,Pryor, S. C., Howe, J. A., & Kunkel, K. E. (2009). How spatially coherent and statistically robust are temporal changes in extreme precipitation in the contiguous USA?. International Journal of Climatology, 29(1), 31-45.,Schoof, J. T., Pryor, S. C., & Surprenant, J. (2010). Development of daily precipitation projections for the United States based on probabilistic downscaling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115(D13). doi:10.1029/2009jd013030

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